Transformation of solvent demand and food consumption in Ukraine in war conditions

Cheremisina, Svitlana; Rossokha, Volodymyr; Mohylova, Maryna; Romanchenko, Natalia

Transformation of solvent demand and food consumption in Ukraine in war conditions

Date

2024

Authors

Cheremisina, Svitlana

Rossokha, Volodymyr

Mohylova, Maryna

Romanchenko, Natalia

Abstract

The article is devoted to the assessment of the state and peculiarities of the formation of the solvent demand for food products in Ukraine during the war and the determination of the optimal amount of wages to ensure the consumption of the main set of food products at the level of rational standards. A comprehensive analysis of structural changes in the solvent demand for food consumption in Ukraine in the war was carried out using the monographic method. Determination of actual and aggregate costs at the level of rational standards for food products was carried out using the calculation-constructive method. The comparison of actual and necessary costs at the level of rational norms for nutrition was carried out on the basis of collected statistical and calculated data by the method of comparative analysis. It is recognized that the war has negative consequences in the nutrition o f Ukrainians. During the first year o f the war, the price affordability o f food products decreased by 26.6% on average. In 2010-2022, the share o f population spending on food remains very significant (from 51.6% in 2010 to 57.8% in 2022). In 2023, this indicator is expected to grow to 58.5%. It has been proven that in order to consume basic food products in accordance with rational norms, the population o f Ukraine had to spend 1.56 times more in 2021 than the actual expenses. To achieve the level of consumption in accordance with rational standards in 2022, an additional 23,478 UAH per year, or 1,957 UAH per month, is needed. The forecast for 2023 predicts a deterioration o f the ratio of actual food costs to costs under rational standards to 1.68. It was determined that in 2021 the wage level should be at least UAH 33,944 (EUR 1,131) per person per month, which is 2.41 times higher than the actual wage level in the country. The war worsened this ratio to 2.6. It was established that in 2023, for food at the level o f rational consumption standards, a Ukrainian should earn 38,564 UAH (964 EUR per month), which is 2.9 times higher than the actual wage level (13,423 UAH or 335 EUR). The novelty of the study consists in the development and practical testing of the methodology for determining the optimal wage of Ukrainians to ensure the consumption of the main set of food products at the level of rational standards.

Description

U radu se procjenjuje stanje і posebnost formiranja solventne potraznje za prehrambenim proizvodima u Ukrajini tijekom rata te odredivanju optimalnog iznosa plaça како bi se osigurala potrosnja osnovnog seta prehrambenih proizvoda na razini racionalnih normi. Sveobuhvatna analiza strukturnih promjena u solventnoj potraznji za potrosnjom hrane u Ukrajini tijekom rata provedena je koristenjem monografske metode. Odredivanje stvarnih і ukupnih troskova na razini racionalnih normi za prehrambene proizvode provedenoje pomocu metode proracuna і konstrukcije. Usporedba stvarnih і potrebnih troskova na razini racionalnih normi za prehranu izvrsenaje na temelju prikupljenih statistickih і proracunskih podataka metodom usporedne analize. Pokazano je da rat ima negativne posljedice na prehranu Ukrajinaca. Tijekom prve godine rata, cjenovna pristupacnost prehrambenih proizvoda smanjila se u prosjeku za 26,6%. U razdoblju od 2010. do 2022. godine, udio potrosnje stanovnistva na hranu ostaje vrlo znacajan (od 51,6% u 2010. do 57,8% u 2022. godini). U2023. godini, ocekujese da ce ovaj pokazatelj porasti na 58,5%. Dokazano je da je za konzumaciju osnovnih prehrambenih proizvoda u skladu s racionalnim normama stanovnistvo Ukrajine 2021. godine trebalo trositi 1,56 puta vise od stvarnih izdataka. Kako bi se postigla razina potrosnje u skladu s racionalnim standardima u 2022. godini, potrebno je dodatnih 23.478 UAH godisnje, ili 1.957 UAH mjesecno. Prognoza za2023. godinu predvida pogorsanje omjera stvarnih troskova hrane і troskova prema racionalnim standardima na 1,68. U radu je pokazano da je 2021. godine razina plaça trebala biti najmanje 33.944 UAH (1.131 EUR) po osobi mjesecno, stoje 2,41 puta vise od stvarne razine plaça u zemlji. Rat je pogorsao ovaj omjer na 2,6. Pokazano je і da bi 2023. godine, za prehranu na razini racionalnih normi potrosnje, Ukrajinac trebao zaradivati 38.564 UAH (964 EUR mjesecno), stoje 2,9 puta vise od stvarne razine plaça (13.423 UAH ili 335 EUR). Doprinos rada sastoji se u razvoju і prakticnom testiranju metodologije za odredivanje optimalne place Ukrajinaca kako bi se osigurala potrosnja osnovnog seta prehrambenih proizvoda na razini racionalnih normi.

Keywords

food products, price, solvent demand, availability and sufficiency of consumption, rational rate of consumption, article, prehrambeni proizvodi, cijena, solventna potraznja, dostupnost і dostatnost potrosnje, racionalna stopa potrosnje

Citation

Transformation of solvent demand and food consumption in Ukraine in war conditions / Svitlana Cheremisina, Volodymyr Rossokha, Maryna Mohylova, Natalia Romanchenko // Ekonomski pregled. - 2024. - Vol. 75, Issue 4. - P. 330-346. - https://doi.org/10.32910/ep.75.4.3