Кафедра екології

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Calculation of loss inflicted and expected caused by dangerous geological natural events (case of abrasion and landslide)
(2021) Horoshkova, Lidiіa; Khlobystov, Yevgen; Menshov, O.
The methodology of comprehensive assessment and forecasting of socio-economic loss inflicted and expected caused by landslides and abrasion processes taking into account, climate changes has been proposed in the article. The relevance of chain effects from the simultaneous negative impacts has been emphasized. The following outcomes have been figured out: reduction of recreational opportunities aimed at health improvement and territorial unemployment rate growth due to the number of vacationers` drop. It has been proved that the assessment of the expected economic loss rate should include lower health and recreation stock loss caused by coastline beaches` loss, which fuels shorten local budget revenues and number of businesses, additional unemployed assistance, and transporters` loss. The study results` one could use when calculating the required costs to prevent and avoid natural emergencies caused by landslides and abrasion.