Wildfires and Climate Change in the Ukrainian Polissia During 2001–2023

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dc.contributor.authorBoychenko, Svitlanaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKuchma, Tetyanaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKaramushka, Victoren_US
dc.contributor.authorMaidanovych, Nadiiaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKozak, Olenaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2025-05-02T07:07:32Z
dc.date.available2025-05-02T07:07:32Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.description.abstractClimate change, accompanied by anomalously high temperatures and a decrease in precipitation during the warm season, can have serious consequences for the ecosystems and sustainability of the Ukrainian Polissia. In particular, there are increased risks of forest and peat fires, as well as an overall deterioration of the region’s ecological condition. Between 1990 and 2021, the Ukrainian Polissia region recorded an average temperature increase of 0.60 °C per decade, along with a 3–5% decrease in annual precipitation. An analysis of the spatial distribution of wildfire incident density based on satellite data (FIRMS) in the regions of the Ukrainian Polissia from 2001 to 2023 highlighted several periods of sharp increases in fires: 2002, 2007–2009, 2014–2015, and 2019–2020. The Spring Fire Season and the Late Summer–Autumn Fire Season coincide with periods of reduced precipitation, which in some years reached 40–60% below the climatic norm. Although the climatic conditions of spring 2022 were not as warm and dry as those in 2020, significant parts of Kyiv Polissia and Chernihiv Polissia suffered from large-scale wildfires due to ongoing military actions. The spatial distribution of fire frequency in 2020 and 2022 highlights different contributing factors: in 2020, weather anomalies were the primary cause, while in 2022, armed hostilities played a key role. Military conflicts not only increase the risk of fires but also complicate firefighting efforts, making the region even more vulnerable to large-scale forest fires, and thereby threatening its sustainability. These findings underscore the urgent need for integrated fire management strategies that take into account climate change, land-use policies, and geopolitical factors to mitigate the escalating wildfire threat in the region and ensure long-term sustainability.en_US
dc.identifier.citationWildfires and Climate Change in the Ukrainian Polissia During 2001–2023 / Svitlana Boychenko, Tetyana Kuchma, Victor Karamushka, Nadiia Maidanovych, Olena Kozak // Sustainability. - 2025. - Vol. 17, Issue 5. - Art. no. 2223. - https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052223en_US
dc.identifier.issn2071-1050
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/su17052223
dc.identifier.urihttps://ekmair.ukma.edu.ua/handle/123456789/34470
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.relation.sourceSustainabilityen_US
dc.statusfirst publisheden_US
dc.subjectwildfireen_US
dc.subjectclimate changeen_US
dc.subjectUkrainian Polissiaen_US
dc.subjectweather anomaliesen_US
dc.subjectwaren_US
dc.subjectsustainabilityen_US
dc.subjectarticleen_US
dc.titleWildfires and Climate Change in the Ukrainian Polissia During 2001–2023en_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
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