Multifactor mathematical modelling of ecological and economic systems (the example of coal mining development)

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Date
2020
Authors
Horoshkova, Lidiіa
Khlobystov, Yevgen
Danylyshyn, Bohdan
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Abstract
The model for planning and forecasting of coal resources as a component of the management system of the national raw material base has been developed as a result of the study. The model of national potential for coking coal`s rational use management based on balancing flows of coal extraction, coke and semi-coke production according to the needs of the country's metallurgical industry (ironmaking) has been proposed. The model is confirmed by the official statistics. The model of anthracite’s and other coals` rational extraction management has been proposed based on balancing flows of coal extraction, its production according to the energy sector needs (heat production). The model is confirmed by the official statistics. In order to solve the problem of system management of national coal mining, it has been proposed to balance the volumes of coal mining with the volumes of its consumption in metallurgy and energy sectors. The necessity of planning a nd forecasting the extraction volumes has been proved taking into account cyclical nature of economic processes` development. It has been proposed to use a multi-factor economic and mathematical model for forecasting the development of complex systems as a sample frame.
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Keywords
coal resources, ecological systems, economic systems, mathematical model, conference materials
Citation
Horoshkova L. Multifactor mathematical modelling of ecological and economic systems (the example of coal mining development) / L. Horoshkova, I. Khlobystov, B. Danylyshyn // Geoinformatics: Theoretical and Applied Aspects : proceedings of the XIXth International Conference / European Association of Geoscientists and Engineers, All Ukrainian Association of Geoinformatics. - Kyiv : [s. n.], 2020. - P. 1-5.