Abstract:
Due to the processes of globalization in the world, there is an increase in the
population's inclination to migrate abroad. At the same time, there is the insufficient number of
scientific work on this subject using mathematical tools, which promotes the need for in-depth
study and search of new ways of regulating the problem of external migration in Ukraine and
in the world. Solving the objectives of the proposed study is a contribution to the study of the
problems of large migratory flows and problems arising from their ineffective regulation, and
it also corresponds to the world and national priorities of science development. Based on the
theories of migration, previously obtained results and new data, the new dynamic process
simulation model of external migration flows in Ukraine will be created. The main factors,
impact of which on the regulation of mobility in Ukraine will be evaluated not only qualitatively
but also quantitatively are: the ratio of wages in Ukraine and recipient countries, differences in
the level of GDP per capita, the possibility of purchase (rental) housing, differences in the level
of marginal propensity to consume, etc. Based on the created simulation model, a scenario
analysis is carried out and the main problems of the current regulation of migration flow
existing in Ukraine are identified.
